Andre Pallante
scrub tier · 3.8K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
18
MAE
1.90
Ks off, on average
Bias
+1.10
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.07
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.21
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.96
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0180
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0248
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/22/26 | 4.45 | 2 | 2.45 |
| 9/15/26 | 4.48 | 2 | 2.48 |
| 9/9/26 | 4.62 | 4 | 0.62 |
| 9/4/26 | 3.92 | 1 | 2.92 |
| 8/11/26 | 4.60 | 2 | 2.60 |
| 8/5/26 | 4.69 | 4 | 0.69 |
| 7/30/26 | 4.62 | 3 | 1.62 |
| 7/25/26 | 4.79 | 8 | 3.21 |
| 7/19/26 | 4.54 | 3 | 1.54 |
| 7/9/26 | 4.75 | 2 | 2.75 |
| 7/3/26 | 4.57 | 2 | 2.57 |
| 6/27/26 | 4.60 | 4 | 0.60 |
| 6/22/26 | 4.42 | 2 | 2.42 |
| 6/16/26 | 3.93 | 6 | 2.07 |
| 6/10/26 | 3.80 | 5 | 1.20 |
| 6/3/26 | 4.28 | 5 | 0.72 |
| 5/29/26 | 4.88 | 3 | 1.88 |
| 5/23/26 | 4.91 | 3 | 1.91 |