Brad Lord
avg tier · 4.0K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
1
MAE
3.40
Ks off, on average
Bias
-3.40
predicted − actual
RMSE
3.40
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
3.40
n=1
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0006
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
19
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/2/26 | 2.60 | 6 | 3.40 |