Brady Singer
avg tier · 4.6K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
19
MAE
1.48
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.06
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.82
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.92
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.36
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0172
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0237
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/26 | 4.44 | 1 | 3.44 |
| 9/17/26 | 3.96 | 0 | 3.96 |
| 9/12/26 | 4.82 | 5 | 0.18 |
| 9/6/26 | 5.01 | 3 | 2.01 |
| 8/31/26 | 4.97 | 5 | 0.03 |
| 8/25/26 | 4.90 | 5 | 0.10 |
| 8/9/26 | 4.92 | 3 | 1.92 |
| 8/4/26 | 3.71 | 6 | 2.29 |
| 7/29/26 | 4.36 | 3 | 1.36 |
| 7/22/26 | 4.88 | 6 | 1.12 |
| 7/17/26 | 4.73 | 6 | 1.27 |
| 7/9/26 | 4.77 | 5 | 0.23 |
| 7/3/26 | 4.93 | 6 | 1.07 |
| 6/28/26 | 5.36 | 6 | 0.64 |
| 6/22/26 | 4.37 | 7 | 2.63 |
| 6/16/26 | 4.06 | 5 | 0.94 |
| 6/10/26 | 4.02 | 5 | 0.98 |
| 6/5/26 | 4.01 | 6 | 1.99 |
| 5/30/26 | 3.87 | 2 | 1.87 |