Brandon Woodruff
elite tier · 6.0K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
3
MAE
2.41
Ks off, on average
Bias
-2.41
predicted − actual
RMSE
3.21
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.41
n=3
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0005
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
29
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4/26 | 5.13 | 6 | 0.87 |
| 6/28/26 | 5.04 | 6 | 0.96 |
| 6/22/26 | 4.60 | 10 | 5.40 |