Brayan Bello
avg tier · 4.2K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
3
MAE
1.84
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.02
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.16
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.84
n=3
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0050
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0066
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/26 | 4.48 | 2 | 2.48 |
| 9/7/26 | 4.21 | 7 | 2.79 |
| 6/4/26 | 4.25 | 4 | 0.25 |