Bryce Miller
avg tier · 4.6K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
16
MAE
3.32
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.89
predicted − actual
RMSE
3.68
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
3.05
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
3.05
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0325
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0451
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/26 | 5.15 | 7 | 1.85 |
| 9/19/26 | 5.14 | 6 | 0.86 |
| 9/13/26 | 5.29 | 0 | 5.29 |
| 9/2/26 | 5.43 | 3 | 2.43 |
| 8/18/26 | 5.83 | 1 | 4.83 |
| 8/12/26 | 5.58 | 1 | 4.58 |
| 8/6/26 | 5.49 | 5 | 0.49 |
| 7/31/26 | 5.69 | 3 | 2.69 |
| 7/24/26 | 5.75 | 1 | 4.75 |
| 7/17/26 | 5.73 | 3 | 2.73 |
| 7/9/26 | 5.09 | 3 | 2.09 |
| 7/2/26 | 5.46 | 8 | 2.54 |
| 6/25/26 | 4.83 | 11 | 6.17 |
| 6/19/26 | 4.76 | 1 | 3.76 |
| 6/12/26 | 3.90 | 7 | 3.10 |
| 6/6/26 | 4.10 | 9 | 4.90 |