Bubba Chandler
avg tier · 4.5K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
20
MAE
1.95
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.22
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.51
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.85
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
0.74
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0020
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0030
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
17
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/26 | 4.30 | 2 | 2.30 |
| 9/19/26 | 4.69 | 6 | 1.31 |
| 9/13/26 | 4.67 | 3 | 1.67 |
| 9/8/26 | 4.56 | 8 | 3.44 |
| 9/2/26 | 4.53 | 4 | 0.53 |
| 8/26/26 | 4.55 | 3 | 1.55 |
| 8/8/26 | 4.86 | 5 | 0.14 |
| 8/3/26 | 4.58 | 5 | 0.42 |
| 7/28/26 | 4.54 | 3 | 1.54 |
| 7/22/26 | 4.96 | 5 | 0.04 |
| 7/11/26 | 4.32 | 6 | 1.68 |
| 7/5/26 | 5.10 | 0 | 5.10 |
| 6/30/26 | 5.19 | 6 | 0.81 |
| 6/25/26 | 6.18 | 4 | 2.18 |
| 6/19/26 | 5.29 | 1 | 4.29 |
| 6/13/26 | 4.17 | 6 | 1.83 |
| 6/7/26 | 5.21 | 7 | 1.79 |
| 6/2/26 | 5.29 | 3 | 2.29 |
| 5/27/26 | 5.25 | 5 | 0.25 |
| 5/22/26 | 5.13 | 11 | 5.87 |