Cade Povich
good tier · 4.6K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
2
MAE
2.98
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.38
predicted − actual
RMSE
3.01
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.98
n=2
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0189
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0280
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
39
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/9/26 | 5.36 | 2 | 3.36 |
| 8/4/26 | 4.39 | 7 | 2.61 |