Corbin Burnes
elite tier · 5.5K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
2
MAE
2.04
Ks off, on average
Bias
+2.04
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.29
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.04
n=2
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/26 | 5.07 | 2 | 3.07 |
| 9/14/26 | 5.02 | 4 | 1.02 |