Eduardo Rodriguez
avg tier · 4.3K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
21
MAE
2.16
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.76
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.60
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.72
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
2.82
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0325
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0451
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/26 | 4.51 | 3 | 1.51 |
| 9/18/26 | 4.36 | 2 | 2.36 |
| 9/13/26 | 4.31 | 4 | 0.31 |
| 9/6/26 | 4.10 | 6 | 1.90 |
| 9/1/26 | 4.54 | 2 | 2.54 |
| 8/26/26 | 4.41 | 9 | 4.59 |
| 8/9/26 | 3.38 | 8 | 4.62 |
| 8/4/26 | 4.47 | 6 | 1.53 |
| 7/29/26 | 4.42 | 2 | 2.42 |
| 7/24/26 | 4.93 | 4 | 0.93 |
| 7/19/26 | 3.13 | 3 | 0.13 |
| 7/10/26 | 4.50 | 0 | 4.50 |
| 7/5/26 | 4.45 | 3 | 1.45 |
| 6/29/26 | 4.75 | 2 | 2.75 |
| 6/23/26 | 3.60 | 5 | 1.40 |
| 6/17/26 | 4.30 | 1 | 3.30 |
| 6/12/26 | 4.95 | 3 | 1.95 |
| 6/6/26 | 4.37 | 5 | 0.63 |
| 6/1/26 | 4.40 | 3 | 1.40 |
| 5/26/26 | 4.84 | 0 | 4.84 |
| 5/21/26 | 4.34 | 4 | 0.34 |