Edward Cabrera
good tier · 5.2K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
5
MAE
1.81
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.95
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.08
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.81
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/23/26 | 4.93 | 4 | 0.93 |
| 6/16/26 | 5.30 | 3 | 2.30 |
| 6/11/26 | 5.39 | 5 | 0.39 |
| 6/5/26 | 3.84 | 6 | 2.16 |
| 5/20/26 | 5.27 | 2 | 3.27 |