Framber Valdez
good tier · 5.2K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
20
MAE
2.18
Ks off, on average
Bias
+1.18
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.70
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.83
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.82
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0361
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0501
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23/26 | 6.06 | 6 | 0.06 |
| 9/17/26 | 5.49 | 8 | 2.51 |
| 9/11/26 | 5.63 | 2 | 3.63 |
| 9/5/26 | 5.67 | 3 | 2.67 |
| 8/30/26 | 5.30 | 5 | 0.30 |
| 8/24/26 | 4.69 | 0 | 4.69 |
| 8/12/26 | 5.51 | 3 | 2.51 |
| 8/6/26 | 5.18 | 5 | 0.18 |
| 8/1/26 | 5.30 | 6 | 0.70 |
| 7/26/26 | 5.04 | 4 | 1.04 |
| 7/21/26 | 5.78 | 1 | 4.78 |
| 7/9/26 | 5.73 | 9 | 3.27 |
| 7/2/26 | 5.87 | 1 | 4.87 |
| 6/27/26 | 5.40 | 2 | 3.40 |
| 6/22/26 | 5.45 | 8 | 2.55 |
| 6/16/26 | 5.09 | 6 | 0.91 |
| 6/10/26 | 5.32 | 2 | 3.32 |
| 6/5/26 | 5.53 | 5 | 0.53 |
| 5/30/26 | 5.12 | 4 | 1.12 |
| 5/24/26 | 5.53 | 5 | 0.53 |