Hunter Dobbins
avg tier · 4.2K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
3
MAE
1.20
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.54
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.21
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.20
n=3
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0042
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0091
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
13
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/10/26 | 4.57 | 6 | 1.43 |
| 8/4/26 | 4.98 | 4 | 0.98 |
| 7/22/26 | 3.82 | 5 | 1.18 |