Jackson Jobe
elite tier · 5.4K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
6
MAE
2.19
Ks off, on average
Bias
-1.96
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.55
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.55
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0007
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
10
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/26 | 4.97 | 8 | 3.03 |
| 9/19/26 | 5.71 | 9 | 3.29 |
| 9/13/26 | 5.19 | 8 | 2.81 |
| 9/6/26 | 3.70 | 7 | 3.30 |
| 8/31/26 | 4.32 | 4 | 0.32 |
| 8/25/26 | 4.38 | 4 | 0.38 |