Jake Bennett
avg tier · 4.2K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
14
MAE
1.89
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.60
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.16
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.18
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.58
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0010
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0008
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
4
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/16/26 | 5.11 | 7 | 1.89 |
| 9/9/26 | 5.12 | 2 | 3.12 |
| 9/3/26 | 5.14 | 1 | 4.14 |
| 8/29/26 | 5.85 | 7 | 1.15 |
| 8/8/26 | 5.62 | 5 | 0.62 |
| 8/2/26 | 4.75 | 4 | 0.75 |
| 7/28/26 | 5.14 | 4 | 1.14 |
| 7/22/26 | 6.77 | 4 | 2.77 |
| 7/17/26 | 4.29 | 3 | 1.29 |
| 7/8/26 | 5.96 | 4 | 1.96 |
| 7/3/26 | 5.12 | 6 | 0.88 |
| 6/27/26 | 4.66 | 3 | 1.66 |
| 6/22/26 | 5.53 | 9 | 3.47 |
| 6/17/26 | 3.33 | 5 | 1.67 |