Logan Allen
avg tier · 4.1K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
1
MAE
2.59
Ks off, on average
Bias
+2.59
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.59
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.59
n=1
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/26 | 3.59 | 1 | 2.59 |