Luis Severino
good tier · 4.8K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
2
MAE
4.50
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.76
predicted − actual
RMSE
4.57
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
4.50
n=2
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0096
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0130
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/29/26 | 4.75 | 1 | 3.75 |
| 5/21/26 | 4.74 | 10 | 5.26 |