Max Meyer
elite tier · 5.6K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
10
MAE
1.68
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.16
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.17
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.06
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.31
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0178
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0267
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
38
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/18/26 | 5.63 | 5 | 0.63 |
| 7/7/26 | 6.10 | 4 | 2.10 |
| 7/1/26 | 5.55 | 5 | 0.55 |
| 6/26/26 | 5.14 | 0 | 5.14 |
| 6/20/26 | 5.13 | 7 | 1.87 |
| 6/14/26 | 6.46 | 9 | 2.54 |
| 6/9/26 | 5.54 | 5 | 0.54 |
| 6/3/26 | 5.60 | 7 | 1.40 |
| 5/29/26 | 6.28 | 6 | 0.28 |
| 5/23/26 | 6.21 | 8 | 1.79 |