Michael McGreevy
scrub tier · 3.6K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
20
MAE
1.42
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.57
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.70
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.21
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.03
n=5
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/26 | 3.84 | 2 | 1.84 |
| 9/19/26 | 3.90 | 1 | 2.90 |
| 9/13/26 | 4.80 | 6 | 1.20 |
| 9/7/26 | 3.93 | 4 | 0.07 |
| 9/1/26 | 3.97 | 4 | 0.03 |
| 8/26/26 | 3.95 | 3 | 0.95 |
| 8/9/26 | 3.56 | 4 | 0.44 |
| 8/3/26 | 3.98 | 5 | 1.02 |
| 7/28/26 | 4.11 | 2 | 2.11 |
| 7/23/26 | 3.65 | 3 | 0.65 |
| 7/17/26 | 3.99 | 5 | 1.01 |
| 7/8/26 | 4.03 | 6 | 1.97 |
| 7/1/26 | 3.73 | 3 | 0.73 |
| 6/26/26 | 4.74 | 4 | 0.74 |
| 6/19/26 | 4.54 | 2 | 2.54 |
| 6/14/26 | 3.52 | 2 | 1.52 |
| 6/7/26 | 4.37 | 5 | 0.63 |
| 6/1/26 | 3.76 | 1 | 2.76 |
| 5/26/26 | 3.85 | 6 | 2.15 |
| 5/20/26 | 4.14 | 1 | 3.14 |