Nolan McLean
elite tier · 6.4K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
19
MAE
1.80
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.51
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.22
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.05
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
2.34
n=5
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23/26 | 5.75 | 5 | 0.75 |
| 9/17/26 | 5.69 | 5 | 0.69 |
| 9/11/26 | 5.82 | 5 | 0.82 |
| 9/4/26 | 5.84 | 7 | 1.16 |
| 8/29/26 | 5.82 | 4 | 1.82 |
| 8/11/26 | 5.56 | 3 | 2.56 |
| 8/6/26 | 4.57 | 8 | 3.43 |
| 7/30/26 | 5.83 | 6 | 0.17 |
| 7/25/26 | 5.44 | 7 | 1.56 |
| 7/19/26 | 6.00 | 10 | 4.00 |
| 7/10/26 | 5.85 | 7 | 1.15 |
| 7/5/26 | 5.63 | 5 | 0.63 |
| 6/30/26 | 4.49 | 7 | 2.51 |
| 6/24/26 | 5.39 | 9 | 3.61 |
| 6/17/26 | 5.55 | 9 | 3.45 |
| 6/12/26 | 5.10 | 6 | 0.90 |
| 6/6/26 | 6.12 | 5 | 1.12 |
| 5/31/26 | 5.90 | 2 | 3.90 |
| 5/25/26 | 5.96 | 6 | 0.04 |