Patrick Corbin
avg tier · 4.0K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
7
MAE
1.10
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.05
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.61
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
0.93
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/26/26 | 4.04 | 5 | 0.96 |
| 6/20/26 | 4.00 | 4 | 0.00 |
| 6/14/26 | 3.52 | 3 | 0.52 |
| 6/8/26 | 3.41 | 3 | 0.41 |
| 6/3/26 | 3.75 | 1 | 2.75 |
| 5/28/26 | 3.97 | 4 | 0.03 |
| 5/23/26 | 3.97 | 7 | 3.03 |