Look up a pitcher
Bets
5
0W · 5L
Win Rate
0.0%
23.4% break-even (+327)
ROI
-100.00%
profit / wager
P&L
-16.42u
1× Kelly-sized (calibration-adjusted) · settled
MAE
2.71
Ks · n=1 predictions
Bias
+2.71
over-predicting
Volatility
—
not in NB α file yet
Recent form · Last 1 start
Record
0W-5L
Win Rate
0%
+327 avg
MAE
2.71
P&L
-16.42u
UNDER0 bets
Record
—
Win Rate
—
P&L
—
OVER5 bets
Record
0W-5L
Win Rate
0%
+327 avg
P&L
-16.42u
Predicted vs Actual Over Time
1 start · one bar pair per pitcher-start
Edge Sweet-Spot
ROI by predicted edge bucket · small samples per pitcher; directional only
| Date | Opp | Side | Line | Type | Odds | Edge | Pred Ks | 80% CI | Actual Ks | Result | Units | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/4/26 | MIN | OVER | 2.5 | MAIN | -127 | 25.2% | 4.3 | 2–6 | 1 | LOSS | -5.73u | BetOnline.ag |
| 8/4/26 | MIN | OVER | 3.5 | ALT | +200 | 29.6% | 4.3 | 2–6 | 1 | LOSS | -4.44u | Fanatics |
| 8/4/26 | MIN | OVER | 4.5 | ALT | +494 | 26.2% | 4.3 | 2–6 | 1 | LOSS | -3.15u | DraftKings |
| 8/4/26 | MIN | OVER | 5.5 | ALT | +1200 | 18.3% | 4.3 | 2–6 | 1 | LOSS | -1.99u | Bovada |
| 8/4/26 | MIN | OVER | 6.5 | ALT | +3000 | 10.8% | 4.3 | 2–6 | 1 | LOSS | -1.11u | BetOnline.ag |