Ronel Blanco
good tier · 5.0K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
2
MAE
2.71
Ks off, on average
Bias
+2.71
predicted − actual
RMSE
3.05
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.71
n=2
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0004
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
45
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/1/26 | 4.33 | 3 | 1.33 |
| 8/7/26 | 5.10 | 1 | 4.10 |