Sandy Alcantara
good tier · 4.8K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
21
MAE
1.86
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.09
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.14
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.54
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.40
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/26 | 4.97 | 3 | 1.97 |
| 9/14/26 | 5.28 | 6 | 0.72 |
| 9/8/26 | 5.34 | 1 | 4.34 |
| 9/3/26 | 5.28 | 2 | 3.28 |
| 8/29/26 | 5.39 | 3 | 2.39 |
| 8/24/26 | 4.68 | 6 | 1.32 |
| 8/8/26 | 5.27 | 8 | 2.73 |
| 8/2/26 | 5.33 | 5 | 0.33 |
| 7/28/26 | 4.87 | 5 | 0.13 |
| 7/22/26 | 5.47 | 3 | 2.47 |
| 7/17/26 | 5.48 | 7 | 1.52 |
| 7/10/26 | 5.60 | 8 | 2.40 |
| 7/4/26 | 5.45 | 8 | 2.55 |
| 6/29/26 | 5.10 | 3 | 2.10 |
| 6/23/26 | 4.97 | 4 | 0.97 |
| 6/17/26 | 4.61 | 6 | 1.39 |
| 6/12/26 | 4.00 | 7 | 3.00 |
| 6/7/26 | 4.83 | 7 | 2.17 |
| 6/1/26 | 4.30 | 5 | 0.70 |
| 5/26/26 | 4.52 | 4 | 0.52 |
| 5/21/26 | 5.08 | 3 | 2.08 |