Shohei Ohtani
elite tier · 6.3K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
7
MAE
1.44
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.10
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.73
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.42
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
48
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3/26 | 6.17 | 9 | 2.83 |
| 6/24/26 | 6.10 | 8 | 1.90 |
| 6/17/26 | 6.73 | 5 | 1.73 |
| 6/10/26 | 5.97 | 6 | 0.03 |
| 6/3/26 | 6.63 | 6 | 0.63 |
| 5/27/26 | 6.37 | 7 | 0.63 |
| 5/20/26 | 6.35 | 4 | 2.35 |