Spencer Strider
elite tier · 6.2K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
5
MAE
2.33
Ks off, on average
Bias
-0.10
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.61
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.33
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/12/26 | 5.77 | 3 | 2.77 |
| 6/6/26 | 5.81 | 3 | 2.81 |
| 5/31/26 | 5.83 | 8 | 2.17 |
| 5/26/26 | 4.79 | 5 | 0.21 |
| 5/21/26 | 5.30 | 9 | 3.70 |