Tanner Bibee
good tier · 4.9K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
20
MAE
2.21
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.94
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.66
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.44
n=5
Prior 5 starts — MAE
1.65
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19/26 | 5.14 | 2 | 3.14 |
| 9/13/26 | 3.88 | 7 | 3.12 |
| 9/8/26 | 5.41 | 1 | 4.41 |
| 9/3/26 | 4.93 | 4 | 0.93 |
| 8/28/26 | 5.60 | 5 | 0.60 |
| 8/11/26 | 5.31 | 4 | 1.31 |
| 8/5/26 | 5.52 | 10 | 4.48 |
| 7/31/26 | 5.18 | 3 | 2.18 |
| 7/25/26 | 4.73 | 5 | 0.27 |
| 7/20/26 | 5.00 | 5 | 0.00 |
| 7/11/26 | 4.57 | 3 | 1.57 |
| 7/5/26 | 5.71 | 1 | 4.71 |
| 6/30/26 | 5.16 | 2 | 3.16 |
| 6/24/26 | 7.15 | 3 | 4.15 |
| 6/19/26 | 4.75 | 7 | 2.25 |
| 6/12/26 | 5.68 | 8 | 2.32 |
| 6/6/26 | 5.42 | 3 | 2.42 |
| 5/31/26 | 4.73 | 5 | 0.27 |
| 5/25/26 | 5.50 | 3 | 2.50 |
| 5/20/26 | 5.35 | 5 | 0.35 |