Tanner Gordon
scrub tier · 3.7K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
8
MAE
1.61
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.60
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.97
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.23
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0544
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0970
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
25
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/26 | 4.04 | 1 | 3.04 |
| 9/17/26 | 4.13 | 3 | 1.13 |
| 9/12/26 | 4.59 | 5 | 0.41 |
| 9/6/26 | 4.24 | 4 | 0.24 |
| 8/31/26 | 4.31 | 3 | 1.31 |
| 8/26/26 | 4.26 | 5 | 0.74 |
| 7/10/26 | 4.11 | 1 | 3.11 |
| 7/5/26 | 4.12 | 7 | 2.88 |