Trevor Williams
scrub tier · 3.8K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
1
MAE
1.84
Ks off, on average
Bias
+1.84
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.84
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.84
n=1
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0003
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/26 | 3.84 | 2 | 1.84 |