Tyler Glasnow
elite tier · 7.1K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
6
MAE
2.44
Ks off, on average
Bias
-2.44
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.83
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.51
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0154
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0211
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/26 | 6.23 | 11 | 4.77 |
| 9/18/26 | 6.18 | 10 | 3.82 |
| 9/12/26 | 6.23 | 7 | 0.77 |
| 9/5/26 | 5.85 | 8 | 2.15 |
| 8/30/26 | 4.98 | 6 | 1.02 |
| 8/25/26 | 4.87 | 7 | 2.13 |